Ain Sud vs Domerat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
8º
27
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CLE
2 - 0
AIN
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AIN
3 - 1
FEU
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AIN
0 - 0
BOU
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 2
AIN
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AIN
1 - 0
AIX
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Domerat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
BOU
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 1
DOM
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 0
AIX
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 1
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOM
3 - 2
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |