Ain Sud vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
8º
51
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
92% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 2
AIN
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AIN
1 - 0
AIX
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 0
AIN
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AIN
2 - 3
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LDU
1 - 2
AIN
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 0
FEU
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 4
LIM
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AIX
1 - 1
BOU
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 0
SAE
52%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
BOU
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |