Ailly Sur Somme vs Iris Club de Croix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 3
AIL
13%
18%
70%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
DIE
7 - 1
AIL
75%
17%
8%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AIL
0 - 2
AVI
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BOU
3 - 1
AIL
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
AIL
0 - 0
AUL
29%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Iris Club de Croix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
IRI
2 - 0
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
IRI
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 3
IRI
14%
20%
66%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
IRI
1 - 1
IVR
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PSG
1 - 1
IRI
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |