Ailly Sur Somme vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
AIL
76%
16%
9%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
AIL
1 - 3
BOU
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUL
1 - 1
AIL
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 2
GRA
22%
24%
55%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
AIL
0 - 0
FEI
14%
20%
65%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 2
IRI
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FEI
1 - 0
CAL
47%
27%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 0
CAL
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |