Ailly Sur Somme vs Aulnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOI
3 - 1
AIL
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AIL
3 - 2
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
AIL
1 - 1
AMI
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 1
AIL
57%
21%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 2
AIL
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMI
2 - 0
AUL
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AUL
3 - 2
IVR
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +5 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AUL
0 - 1
NOI
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
AUL
46%
22%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUL
0 - 1
BOU
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |