Ailly Sur Somme vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ailly Sur Somme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
4 - 0
AIL
78%
15%
8%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 2
GRA
20%
24%
56%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ESW
2 - 2
AIL
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AIL
1 - 4
DIE
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 0
IRI
37%
26%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SED
1 - 0
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
AMI
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
FEI
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 1
ARR
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |