AIK Solna vs Dnepr Mogilev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
AIK
3 - 0
ELF
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
DNP
0 - 1
AIK
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1999 |
AIK
2 - 0
NOR
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1999 |
FRO
0 - 1
AIK
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1999 |
NOR
0 - 1
AIK
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
DNP
1 - 0
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
DNP
0 - 1
AIK
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1999 |
DNP
1 - 1
NEM
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
DNP
3 - 1
LID
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
DNP
3 - 1
SHA
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |