Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
AIK Solna vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AIK
3 - 0
ORE
58%
26%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
LPO
1 - 0
AIK
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AIK
1 - 2
KAL
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
AIK
3 - 0
LPO
45%
29%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MJÄ
0 - 1
AIK
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 3
CSK
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
ANZ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 3
ZEN
41%
25%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
PER
3 - 1
CSK
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
FCR
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |