UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-0
AIK Solna vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
GIF
1 - 2
AIK
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 0
AIK
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
AIK
2 - 3
HAL
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
HEL
2 - 0
AIK
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2001 |
AIK
2 - 0
HÄC
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 0
AIK
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
LLA
1 - 5
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
HAV
3 - 1
CAR
38%
25%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAE
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |