Aigle Royal vs Fortuna Mfou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
10º
8º
18
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Royal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
BAM
1 - 1
AIR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
4 - 2
APE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
PWD
0 - 0
AIR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FOV
1 - 2
AIR
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
AIR
0 - 2
AAF
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Mfou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ASF
3 - 2
AAF
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
ASF
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
LES
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
UMS
1 - 1
ASF
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
FAE
2 - 3
ASF
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |