UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Aigaleo FC Athens vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigaleo FC Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2005 |
PAO
2 - 4
AIG
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
AIG
2 - 1
HAL
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
AIG
2 - 0
ERG
75%
18%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
OLP
3 - 1
AIG
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
AIG
2 - 1
ARI
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
DIN
2 - 1
ZAL
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
ZAL
2 - 0
DIN
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
LIS
0 - 1
ZAL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
LIS
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2005 |
ZAL
0 - 4
FKE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |