Ahrweiler vs Mülheim-Kärlich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahrweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FTT
2 - 3
ABC
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ABC
5 - 1
WIR
57%
19%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 4
ABC
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABC
2 - 0
VFW
41%
21%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SMR
4 - 1
ABC
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mülheim-Kärlich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SGM
4 - 1
TUS
68%
16%
15%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
AND
2 - 3
SGM
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SGM
7 - 0
HWW
77%
13%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SGS
0 - 2
SGM
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SGM
1 - 3
EIS
48%
22%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |