Ahly Sfaxien vs Union Ksibet Mediouni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahly Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EHJ
0 - 1
AHL
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
AHL
0 - 1
ZAR
6%
14%
80%
|
8 | 60 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
AHL
0 - 1
WSA
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
AHL
0 - 2
CLU
2%
7%
91%
|
9 | 75 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
AHL
2 - 1
AST
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Ksibet Mediouni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SKM
1 - 0
KAL
14%
18%
69%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
EGS
2 - 1
SKM
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 60 | 54 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
BEM
1 - 1
SKM
82%
12%
6%
|
6 | 51 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SFA
2 - 0
SKM
77%
15%
9%
|
6 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
EBC
3 - 1
SKM
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |