Ahly Sfaxien vs Etoile Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
75.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahly Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AHL
3 - 0
SKM
19%
19%
63%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EHJ
0 - 1
AHL
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
AHL
0 - 1
ZAR
6%
14%
80%
|
8 | 60 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
AHL
0 - 1
WSA
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
AHL
0 - 2
CLU
2%
7%
91%
|
9 | 75 | 66 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 2
ETO
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
USM
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 0
CLU
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ETO
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 23 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 0
ETO
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |