Ahlerstedt vs Hagen/Uthlede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
MTL
5 - 0
AHO
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AHO
3 - 3
MEC
23%
22%
54%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
AHO
2 - 0
MTV
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BWB
4 - 2
AHO
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
AHO
2 - 2
SVD
47%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hagen/Uthlede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MTV
2 - 1
HAU
7%
14%
79%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BWB
5 - 0
HAU
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -3 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HAU
3 - 1
SVD
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
TZE
1 - 4
HAU
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
HAU
2 - 3
CUX
82%
12%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |