Ahlerstedt vs MTV Gifhorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
18º
14º
35
8º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
56 | 59 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FTB
0 - 3
AHO
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AHO
0 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HSC
0 - 3
AHO
35%
22%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AHO
3 - 2
BWP
68%
17%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LSK
0 - 2
AHO
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
MTV Gifhorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GER
1 - 0
GIF
81%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GIF
4 - 3
BWP
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 0
GIF
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIF
0 - 6
RAE
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
GIF
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |