Ahlerstedt vs FC Verden 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BWB
1 - 0
AHO
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AHO
1 - 1
TUE
40%
21%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MEC
2 - 1
AHO
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AHO
0 - 3
SEL
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TGS
0 - 1
AHO
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Verden 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VER
1 - 2
TVM
73%
14%
12%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MTL
3 - 3
VER
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BWB
1 - 1
VER
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VER
3 - 0
TUE
48%
20%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MEC
4 - 2
VER
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |