Ahal FT vs Merw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AHA
2 - 0
BFT
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
AHA
4 - 0
KAS
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AHA
2 - 0
AGA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
AHA
3 - 1
ALT
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
30%
25%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
EFT
2 - 1
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ALT
4 - 1
MER
86%
11%
4%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
MER
2 - 3
AGA
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |