AFC Cup Qualification Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 3-1
Ahal FT vs Alay Osh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
FKA
1 - 2
AHA
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AHA
2 - 3
EFT
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 1
AHA
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
AHA
5 - 1
BFT
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 3
AHA
25%
26%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
FKA
1 - 2
AHA
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
FTS
1 - 5
FKA
6%
11%
84%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DBI
3 - 1
FKA
58%
20%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
KBA
0 - 1
FKA
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FKA
3 - 1
FKA
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |