Altos Hornos Zapla vs La Merced Salta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altos Hornos Zapla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 2
AHZ
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
AHZ
4 - 0
HER
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
AHZ
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AHZ
7 - 0
DBT
88%
9%
4%
|
44 | 5 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ROA
0 - 3
AHZ
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
La Merced Salta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
LMS
2 - 0
CSD
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
LMS
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
LMS
1 - 1
CJU
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CJU
0 - 1
LMS
30%
23%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LMS
0 - 0
VSA
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |