Aguilas del Lucero vs Asoc Retiro Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas del Lucero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
ESC
2 - 2
ADL
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 3
ADL
52%
21%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ADL
0 - 0
MOS
24%
20%
57%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
ADL
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ADL
1 - 2
SVI
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Asoc Retiro Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
ASO
1 - 4
CDG
29%
23%
48%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
ASO
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ASO
2 - 1
GND
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AAC
4 - 3
ASO
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASO
3 - 2
LMA
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |