Aguilas FC B vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
8º
5º
31
6º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 65 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47.5% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 70% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
AFC
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
6 - 0
DPM
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIE
2 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
BUL
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 3
MIN
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 2
LOR
43%
23%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
IMP
32%
25%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
IMP
0 - 0
UCA
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MSM
3 - 0
IMP
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
IMP
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |