Aguilas FC B vs Deportivo Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
14º
10º
0
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
2 | 71 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 63 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 61 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 59 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 58 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 54 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 54 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 45 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 26 |
17º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CIE
2 - 0
AFC
70%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
BUL
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 3
MIN
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 1
AFC
40%
24%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 0
YEC
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DPM
0 - 5
LOR
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
DPM
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | -1 |