Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
Águilas CF vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
44%
27%
30%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
AGU
1 - 1
FAF
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
ALB
0 - 0
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
AGU
1 - 0
CSM
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
35%
30%
35%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
44%
27%
30%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOR
62%
24%
14%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
41%
29%
30%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDC
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
CEH
0 - 1
SAN
33%
29%
39%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |