Águilas FC vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
2º
1º
25
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BUL
0 - 1
AGU
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UCA
1 - 2
AGU
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
RMC
71%
19%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 0
MIN
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
MSM
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 2
ALC
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
EGP
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |