Águilas FC vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
53.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
AGU
73%
19%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
ALM
5%
15%
80%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
ELD
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NUC
0 - 0
AGU
64%
23%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
CDE
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
MEL
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CSP
1 - 2
MUR
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
MUR
40%
29%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
ELD
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NUC
1 - 2
MUR
39%
30%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |