Águilas FC vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
AGU
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 1
CDA
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
YEC
1 - 2
AGU
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 1
EGP
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MIN
0 - 1
AGU
19%
23%
59%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
IMP
2 - 2
NUE
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IMP
0 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CDA
0 - 2
IMP
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
IMP
1 - 1
YEC
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
EGP
0 - 0
IMP
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |