Águilas FC vs Deportiva Minera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
11º
10º
6
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
6 | 67 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 64 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 54 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 53 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 50 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 43 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 41 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 40 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 39 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 35 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 31 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 70.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 2
ALM
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
4 - 0
LOR
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
MUR
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
AGU
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportiva Minera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
ORI
20%
28%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAD
0 - 2
MIN
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 2
MEL
17%
25%
59%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 1
MIN
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |