Águilas FC vs CAP Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
2º
1º
35
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 5
AGU
14%
24%
63%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 0
AGU
29%
29%
42%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 1
AGU
18%
24%
58%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
MSM
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 2
LOR
31%
26%
44%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MSM
0 - 1
CAP
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 1
PUL
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EGP
0 - 2
CAP
55%
23%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 0
ALC
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |