Águilas FC vs Estudiantes Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
IMP
3 - 0
AGU
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CDA
1 - 2
AGU
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 3
YEC
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EGP
1 - 1
AGU
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 3
NUE
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 2
IMP
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 4
UCA
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
NUE
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |