CD Águila vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
3º
1º
31
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
AGU
15%
27%
59%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
JOC
62%
24%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 0
AGU
22%
28%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 1
CDD
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 2
ONC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
4 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 0
ONC
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |