CD Águila vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
2º
2º
11
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 39 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
|
1º
|
20 | 38 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 36 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 33 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 29 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 27 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 19 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 18 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 17 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
AGU
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
AGU
23%
29%
49%
|
68 | 19 | 49 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 1
AGU
38%
29%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 1
FAS
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
FIR
38%
26%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 1
MUN
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
FAS
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
MUN
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |