CD Águila vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
AGU
23%
28%
50%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAS
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 1
PAS
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 2
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
UES
2 - 1
JUV
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
SFC
67%
19%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |