CD Águila vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 0
AGU
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
5 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UES
1 - 0
AGU
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
FAS
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FIR
1 - 0
JUV
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
VIS
2 - 2
JUV
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
ONC
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 2
ATL
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |