Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
CD Águila vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 2
CDD
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
AGU
21%
28%
52%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
5 - 1
JOC
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
6 - 0
FIR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 4
ALI
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |