CD Águila vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
10º
4º
45
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 0
FUE
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 0
JOC
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
ONC
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 1
ALI
4%
10%
87%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
4 - 0
FUE
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |