CD Águila vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
1º
32
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JOC
0 - 2
AGU
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 3
AGU
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 2
MET
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
FUE
78%
15%
6%
|
68 | 11 | 57 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
AGU
19%
27%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
CDP
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALI
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |