Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 2-3
CD Águila vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
PAS
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 1
AGU
37%
24%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
AGU
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 2
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
30%
22%
48%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
SFC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |