Águias Musgueira vs Fontainhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias Musgueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
AMU
0 - 0
LAV
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AMU
2 - 1
ODI
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
OBU
1 - 1
AMU
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AMU
2 - 0
PON
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
AMU
3 - 3
AMU
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fontainhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 2
FON
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SFU
3 - 1
FON
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FON
1 - 1
MUR
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
INO
3 - 0
FON
68%
18%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
FON
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |