Águias do Moradal vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
ADM
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
2 - 2
SER
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 4
NAV
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADM
59%
24%
17%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
3 - 1
PEN
55%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAV
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |