Águias do Moradal vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
ADM
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 0
FAL
89%
8%
3%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
OLE
2 - 0
ADM
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 2
FAV
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 1
ADM
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
LUS
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 1
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
RDA
71%
17%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |