Águias do Moradal vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 0
ADM
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ADM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAV
30%
27%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAL
14%
24%
62%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |