Águias do Moradal vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 3
ADM
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 2
SAL
7%
13%
80%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
2 - 2
SER
20%
23%
58%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
6 - 1
FAY
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAL
13%
22%
65%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
CAL
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |