Águias do Moradal vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAM
4 - 1
ADM
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
ADM
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
ADM
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAV
12%
21%
68%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 2
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
NAV
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NAV
2 - 0
TOU
78%
16%
7%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 1
NAV
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | -1 |