Águias do Moradal vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 1
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ADM
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ADM
4 - 2
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 1
BEN
21%
24%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
ADM
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
4%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 4
CAL
12%
20%
68%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
CRA
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
CRA
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |