Águias do Moradal vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 3
SAC
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 0
ADM
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ADM
5 - 2
VIA
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VIA
0 - 0
ADM
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
VIT
43%
22%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 0
ADN
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOU
50%
25%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
COI
4 - 3
ADN
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ADN
0 - 1
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAM
1 - 0
ADN
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |