Águia Negra vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 2
AGU
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
FER
18%
26%
56%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 6
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -3 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 0
AGU
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
UBE
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RIO
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
RVV
31%
27%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAT
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
RIO
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |