Águia Negra vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
URO
0 - 0
AGU
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
AGU
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
OPE
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
AGU
8%
15%
77%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 2
AGU
8%
15%
77%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
GOI
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AQU
1 - 3
REA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
AQU
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 3
REA
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
ITA
61%
21%
19%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |