Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-4
Águia Negra vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
IVI
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
7DE
1 - 1
AGU
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 2
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 1
COR
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 2
UBI
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAY
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PAY
4 - 1
NAC
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAY
16%
20%
65%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PAY
2 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 1
CAM
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |