Águia Negra vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
4 - 0
AGU
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 1
APA
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
2 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 0
AGU
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
LTD
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
GOI
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
URO
0 - 3
GOI
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
REA
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REA
4 - 1
GOI
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |